Variability of extreme temperature and precipitation in Iran during recent decades

被引:171
作者
Rahimzadeh, Fatemeh [1 ]
Asgari, Ahmad [1 ]
Fattahi, Ebrahim [1 ]
机构
[1] ASMERC, Tehran, Iran
关键词
climatic extremes; climatic indices; climate change; extreme temperature; extreme precipitation and Iran; OBSERVED TRENDS; CLIMATE; INDEXES; RAINFALL; DROUGHT; EVENTS; ENSO; ASIA;
D O I
10.1002/joc.1739
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
We examined extreme temperature and precipitation its indicative climatic variables to determine recent climatic changes over Iran. We present the results from 27 synoptic stations which have been quality controlled, tested for homogeneity and have less missing data. For each station, 27 indicative climatic indices recommended by the joint World Meteorological Organization CCL/CLIVAR/JCOMM Expert Team oil Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) were calculated. Marked negative trends for indices like frost days (FD), ice clays (ID), cool days (TX10p), cool lights (TN10p) and diurnal temperature range (DTR) were found over most regions of Iran. Conversely, positive trends were found for summer days (SU25), warm days (TX90p) and tropical nights (TR20) over most regions of the country. For indices Such its Cold Spell Duration Index (CSDI) and Warm Spell Duration Index (WSDI), both positive and negative trends were obtained. We found negative trends in consecutive dry days (CDD) over most of the country. A negative trend was observed for about two-thirds of the cou ntry for annual total wet days precipitation (PRCPTOT). Positive trends in the Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII) were found for the northern half of the Country. and Concurrently negative trends in total wet days for many places within the same region. We observed a negative trend in very wet days exceeding the 95th percentile (R95p) over the eastern and western regions, and it positive trend over the central region of the country. although a clear negative trend was observed for extremely wet days exceeding the 99th percentile (R99p) over most of the country. No similar trends in either the maximum 1-day precipitation (Rx1DAY) or maximum 5-day precipitation (Rx5DAY) were found over the country. Copyright (C) 2008 Royal Meteorological Society
引用
收藏
页码:329 / 343
页数:15
相关论文
共 50 条
[1]   Changes in precipitation and temperature extremes in Central America and northern South America, 1961-2003 -: art. no. D23107 [J].
Aguilar, E ;
Peterson, TC ;
Obando, PR ;
Frutos, R ;
Retana, JA ;
Solera, M ;
Soley, J ;
García, IG ;
Araujo, RM ;
Santos, AR ;
Valle, VE ;
Brunet, M ;
Aguilar, L ;
Alvarez, L ;
Bautista, M ;
Castañón, C ;
Herrera, L ;
Ruano, E ;
Sinay, JJ ;
Sánchez, E ;
Oviedo, GIH ;
Obed, F ;
Salgado, JE ;
Vázquez, JL ;
Baca, M ;
Gutiérrez, M ;
Centella, C ;
Espinosa, J ;
Martínez, D ;
Olmedo, B ;
Espinoza, CEO ;
Núñez, R ;
Haylock, M ;
Benavides, H ;
Mayorga, R .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2005, 110 (D23) :1-15
[2]  
Aguilar E., 2003, Guidelines on climate metadata and homogenization
[3]   Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation [J].
Alexander, LV ;
Zhang, X ;
Peterson, TC ;
Caesar, J ;
Gleason, B ;
Tank, AMGK ;
Haylock, M ;
Collins, D ;
Trewin, B ;
Rahimzadeh, F ;
Tagipour, A ;
Kumar, KR ;
Revadekar, J ;
Griffiths, G ;
Vincent, L ;
Stephenson, DB ;
Burn, J ;
Aguilar, E ;
Brunet, M ;
Taylor, M ;
New, M ;
Zhai, P ;
Rusticucci, M ;
Vazquez-Aguirre, JL .
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2006, 111 (D5)
[4]  
ALIJANI B, 1997, C P 1 REGIONAL CLIMA, P22
[5]  
[Anonymous], 1990, STAT ANAL SERIES OBS
[6]  
[Anonymous], 2001, Climate Change: The Scientific Basis
[7]  
[Anonymous], IRANIAN Q GEOGRAPHIC
[8]  
Barlow M, 2002, J CLIMATE, V15, P697, DOI 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0697:DICASA>2.0.CO
[9]  
2
[10]   Detection of changes in temperature extremes during the second half of the 20th century [J].
Christidis, N ;
Stott, PA ;
Brown, S ;
Hegerl, GC ;
Caesar, J .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2005, 32 (20) :1-4