Estimation of multi-state life table functions and their variability from complex survey data using the SPACE Program

被引:84
作者
Cai, Liming [1 ]
Hayward, Mark D. [2 ,3 ]
Saito, Yasuhiko [4 ]
Lubitz, James [5 ]
Hagedorn, Aaron [6 ]
Crimmins, Eileen [6 ]
机构
[1] Natl Ctr Hlth Stat, Off Anal & Epidemiol, Hyattsville, MD 20782 USA
[2] Univ Texas Austin, Populat Res Ctr, Austin, TX 78712 USA
[3] Univ Texas Austin, Dept Sociol, Austin, TX 78712 USA
[4] Nihon Univ, Adv Res Inst Sci & Humanities, Tokyo 102, Japan
[5] Natl Ctr Hlth Stat, Off Anal & Epidemiol, Hyattsville, MD USA
[6] Univ So Calif, Davis Sch Gerontol, Los Angeles, CA 90089 USA
关键词
MARKOV PROCESS MODEL; LEFT-CENSORED SPELLS; OLDER PERSONS; ACTIVE LIFE; UNITED-STATES; EXPECTANCY; BOOTSTRAP; HEALTH; DISABILITY; AMERICANS;
D O I
10.4054/DemRes.2010.22.6
中图分类号
C921 [人口统计学];
学科分类号
摘要
The multistate life table (MSLT) model is an important demographic method to document life cycle processes. In this paper, we present the SPACE (Stochastic Population Analysis for Complex Events) program to estimate MSLT functions and their sampling variability. It has several advantages over other programs, including the use of micro-simulation and the bootstrap method to estimate the variance of MSLT functions. Simulation enables researchers to analyze a broader array of statistics than the deterministic approach, and may be especially advantageous in investigating distributions of MSLT functions. The bootstrap method takes sample design into account to correct the potential bias in variance estimates.
引用
收藏
页码:129 / 157
页数:29
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