Modeling credit risk with partial information

被引:65
作者
Çetin, U
Jarrow, R
Protter, P
Yildirim, Y
机构
[1] Cornell Univ, Ctr Appl Math, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
[2] Cornell Univ, Dept Ind Engn & Operat Res, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
[3] Cornell Univ, Johnson Grad Sch Management, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
[4] Syracuse Univ, Sch Management, Syracuse, NY 13244 USA
关键词
default risk; Azema martingale; Brownian excursions; default distribution;
D O I
10.1214/105051604000000251
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
This paper provides an alternative approach to Duffie and Lando [Econometrica 69 (2001) 633-664] for obtaining a reduced form credit risk model from a structural model. Duffle and Lando obtain a reduced form model by constructing an economy where the market sees the manager's information set plus noise. The noise makes default a surprise to the market. In contrast, we obtain a reduced form model by constructing an economy where the market sees a reduction of the manager's information set. The reduced information makes default a surprise to the market. We provide an explicit formula for the default intensity based on an Azema martingale, and we use excursion theory of Brownian motions to price risky debt.
引用
收藏
页码:1167 / 1178
页数:12
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