An integrated assessment modeling tool

被引:30
作者
Carmichael, J [1 ]
Tansey, J [1 ]
Robinson, J [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ British Columbia, Sustainable Dev Res Initiat, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z2, Canada
来源
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS | 2004年 / 14卷 / 02期
基金
美国国家科学基金会; 美国安德鲁·梅隆基金会;
关键词
D O I
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.12.002
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The Georgia Basin Futures Project is an innovative regional scale integrated assessment (IA) exercise, which is being undertaken for the purpose of identifying futures that are desirable to the general public in a region, and for the assessment of appropriate policy approaches to realizing these desired futures. Georgia Basin (GB)-QUEST is an interdisciplinary computer-modelling tool which was developed, based on an earlier prototype, as a central part of this project. This paper describes how GB-QUEST is organized, which IA principles are central to its design, the modelling techniques being employed and the experience of users of the model. The paper suggests that the particular modelling methods used, in combination with the innovative design approach, represents a viable template for future regional IAs. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:171 / 183
页数:13
相关论文
共 20 条
[1]   Global models meet global policy - How can global and regional modellers connect with environmental policy makers? What has hindered them? What has helped? [J].
Alcamo, J ;
Kreileman, E ;
Leemans, R .
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 1996, 6 (04) :255-259
[2]  
[Anonymous], GLOBAL ENVIRON CHANG
[3]  
[Anonymous], 1987, Scenarios and Strategic Management
[4]  
BIGGS D, 1999, SEEKING SUSTAINABILI, P237
[5]   Why regional studies are needed in the development of full-scale integrated assessment modelling of global change processes [J].
Easterling, WE .
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 1997, 7 (04) :337-356
[6]  
FONTELA E, 2000, FORESIGHT, V2, P11
[7]   THE DESIGN APPROACH TO SOCIOECONOMIC MODELING [J].
GAULT, FD ;
HAMILTON, KE ;
HOFFMAN, RB ;
MCINNIS, BC .
FUTURES, 1987, 19 (01) :3-25
[8]  
Jasanoff Sheila, 1998, HUMAN CHOICE CLIMATE, VI, p[1, 77]
[9]   VERIFICATION, VALIDATION, AND CONFIRMATION OF NUMERICAL-MODELS IN THE EARTH-SCIENCES [J].
ORESKES, N ;
SHRADERFRECHETTE, K ;
BELITZ, K .
SCIENCE, 1994, 263 (5147) :641-646
[10]  
Raskin P., 1998, BENDING CURVE GLOBAL