System reliability analysis by enhanced Monte Carlo simulation

被引:188
作者
Naess, A. [1 ,2 ]
Leira, B. J. [3 ]
Batsevychc, O. [1 ]
机构
[1] Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Ctr Ships & Ocean Struct, NO-7491 Trondheim, Norway
[2] Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Math Sci, NO-7491 Trondheim, Norway
[3] Norwegian Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Marine Technol, NO-7491 Trondheim, Norway
关键词
System reliability; Monte Carlo simulation; Optimized extrapolation; Asymptotic prediction;
D O I
10.1016/j.strusafe.2009.02.004
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
The main focus of this paper is on the development of a Monte Carlo based method for estimating the reliability of structural systems. The use of Monte Carlo methods for system reliability analysis has several attractive features, the most important being that the failure criterion is usually relatively easy to check almost irrespective of the complexity of the system. The flip side of such methods is the amount of computational efforts that may be involved. However, by reformulating the reliability problem to depend on a parameter and exploiting the regularity of the failure probability as a function of this parameter, it is shown that a substantial reduction of the computational efforts involved can be obtained. (C) 2009 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:349 / 355
页数:7
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