[1] Univ Essex, Dept Econ, Colchester CO4 3SQ, Essex, England
[2] Int Monetary Fund, Fiscal Affairs Dept, Washington, DC 20431 USA
[3] Univ Copenhagen, Inst Econ, DK-1455 Copenhagen, Denmark
[4] Univ Copenhagen, EPRU, DK-1455 Copenhagen K, Denmark
[5] Ctr Econ Policy & Res, London, England