Visibility network of United States hurricanes

被引:116
作者
Elsner, J. B. [1 ]
Jagger, T. H. [1 ]
Fogarty, E. A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Florida State Univ, Dept Geog, Tallahassee, FL 32301 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
PREDICTION MODELS;
D O I
10.1029/2009GL039129
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
070403 [天体物理学];
摘要
The authors demonstrate how to construct a network from a time series of U.S. hurricane counts and show how it can be used to identify unusual years in the record. The network links years based on a "line-of-sight'' visibility algorithm applied to the time series plot and is physically related to the variation of hurricanes from one year to the next. The node degree is the number of links connected to a node. The authors find that the distribution of node degree is consistent with a random Poisson process. High hurricane-occurrence years that are surrounded by years with few hurricanes have many linkages. Of the environmental conditions known to affect coastal hurricane activity, they find years with little sunspot activity during September (peak month of the hurricane season) best correspond with the unusually high linkage years. Citation: Elsner, J. B., T. H. Jagger, and E. A. Fogarty (2009), Visibility network of United States hurricanes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L16702, doi:10.1029/2009GL039129.
引用
收藏
页数:5
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