Quaternary Climate Change and the Geographic Ranges of Mammals

被引:92
作者
Davies, T. Jonathan [1 ]
Purvis, Andy [2 ]
Gittleman, John L. [3 ]
机构
[1] Natl Ctr Ecol Anal & Synth, Santa Barbara, CA 93101 USA
[2] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Div Biol, Dept Life Sci, Ascot SL5 7PY, Berks, England
[3] Univ Georgia, Odum Sch Ecol, Athens, GA 30602 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
Quaternary climate; sister contrasts; extinction filter; dispersal filter; habitat specificity; range size; EXTINCTION RISK; FUTURE BATTLEGROUNDS; DISTRIBUTIONS; CONSERVATION; SIZE; BIODIVERSITY; DIVERSITY; IMPACTS; LAND; EVOLUTION;
D O I
10.1086/603614
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
A species' range can be a proxy for its ecological wellbeing. Species with small and shrinking range distributions are particularly vulnerable to extinction. Future climate change scenarios are predicted to affect species' geographical extents, but data on how species' distributions respond to changing climate are largely anecdotal, and our understanding of the determinants and limits to species geographic ranges is surprisingly poor. Here we show that mammal species in more historically variable environments have larger geographical ranges. However, the relationship between range size and long-term climate trends cannot be explained by variation in our estimates of habitat specificity. We suggest that large oscillations in Quaternary temperatures may have shaped the contemporary distribution of range sizes via the selective extirpation of small-ranged species during glacial expansion and/or recolonization by good dispersers after glacial retreats. The effect of current climate change on species' distributions and extinctions may therefore be determined by the geographical coincidence between historical and future climate scenarios, the "mesh size" of the extinction/dispersal filter imposed by past climate change, and whether similar ecological and evolutionary responses to historical climatic change are appropriate in an increasingly transformed and fragmented landscape.
引用
收藏
页码:297 / 307
页数:11
相关论文
共 74 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 2005, ECOSYSTEMS HUMAN WEL, P1
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1995, Macroecology
[3]   How does climate change affect biodiversity? [J].
Araujo, Miguel B. ;
Rahbek, Carsten .
SCIENCE, 2006, 313 (5792) :1396-1397
[4]   Extinction filters and current resilience: The significance of past selection pressures for conservation biology [J].
Balmford, A .
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION, 1996, 11 (05) :193-196
[5]  
Belsley D., 2005, REGRESSION DIAGNOSTI
[6]  
BENNETT K.D., 1997, Evolution and ecology: the pace of life
[7]   The delayed rise of present-day mammals [J].
Bininda-Emonds, Olaf R. P. ;
Cardillo, Marcel ;
Jones, Kate E. ;
MacPhee, Ross D. E. ;
Beck, Robin M. D. ;
Grenyer, Richard ;
Price, Samantha A. ;
Vos, Rutger A. ;
Gittleman, John L. ;
Purvis, Andy .
NATURE, 2007, 446 (7135) :507-512
[8]   Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum -: Part 1:: experiments and large-scale features [J].
Braconnot, P. ;
Otto-Bliesner, B. ;
Harrison, S. ;
Joussaume, S. ;
Peterchmitt, J.-Y. ;
Abe-Ouchi, A. ;
Crucifix, M. ;
Driesschaert, E. ;
Fichefet, Th. ;
Hewitt, C. D. ;
Kageyama, M. ;
Kitoh, A. ;
Laine, A. ;
Loutre, M.-F. ;
Marti, O. ;
Merkel, U. ;
Ramstein, G. ;
Valdes, P. ;
Weber, S. L. ;
Yu, Y. ;
Zhao, Y. .
CLIMATE OF THE PAST, 2007, 3 (02) :261-277
[9]   Global biodiversity conservation priorities [J].
Brooks, T. M. ;
Mittermeier, R. A. ;
da Fonseca, G. A. B. ;
Gerlach, J. ;
Hoffmann, M. ;
Lamoreux, J. F. ;
Mittermeier, C. G. ;
Pilgrim, J. D. ;
Rodrigues, A. S. L. .
SCIENCE, 2006, 313 (5783) :58-61
[10]  
Brown J.H., 1998, Biogeography