THE EX-ANTE EFFECTS OF NON-CONTRIBUTORY PENSIONS IN COLOMBIA AND PERU

被引：15

作者：

Olivera, Javier ^{[1
]}

Zuluaga, Blanca ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Luxembourg, RU INSIDE, Inst Res Socioecon Inequal, Luxembourg, Luxembourg

[2] Icesi Univ, Dept Econ, Cali, Colombia

来源：

JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT | 2014年 / 26卷 / 07期

关键词：

non-contributory pensions; social security; old age; poverty; Latin America; OLD-AGE-PENSION; LABOR; RESPONSES; POVERTY; INCOME;

D O I：

10.1002/jid.3008

中图分类号：

F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];

学科分类号：

0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;

摘要：

This paper studies the ex-ante effects of the implementation of a non-contributory pension (NCP) programme in Colombia and Peru. Relying on household survey data, we simulate the transfer's potential impact on poverty, inequality, fiscal cost and the probability of affiliation to contributory pensions. Our results show that an NCP reduces poverty and inequality among the elderly, particularly in rural areas, at an arguably limited fiscal cost. Regarding behavioural effects, there is not a large impact on the probability of affiliation to contributory pensions when the programme is targeted to the poor, with the exception of Peruvian women. Finally, we also compute some potential effects on the recipient's labour supply. Copyright (C) 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

引用

页码：949 / 973

页数：25

共 26 条

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