A unified approach to the study of tail probabilities of compound distributions

被引:15
作者
Cai, J [1 ]
Garrido, J
机构
[1] Univ Waterloo, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada
[2] Concordia Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Montreal, PQ H4B 1R6, Canada
[3] Univ Melbourne, Parkville, Vic 3052, Australia
关键词
compound distribution; renewal process; Wald's identity; reliability distribution classes; NWU distribution; NBU distribution; heavy-tailed distribution; Cramer-Lundberg's condition; Lundberg's inequality; stochastic ordering;
D O I
10.1017/S0021900200017861
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We consider the tail probabilities of a class of compound distributions. First, the relations between reliability distribution classes and heavy-tailed distributions are discussed. These relations reveal that many previous results on estimating the tail probabilities are not applicable to heavy-tailed distributions. Then, a generalized Wald's identity and identities for compound geometric distributions are presented in terms of renewal processes. Using these identities, lower and upper bounds for the tail probabilities are derived in a unified way for the class of compound distributions, both under the conditions of NBU and NWU tails, which include exponential tails, as well as under the condition of heavy-tailed distributions. Finally, simplified bounds are derived by the technique of stochastic ordering. This method removes some unnecessary technical assumptions and corrects errors in the proof of some previous results.
引用
收藏
页码:1058 / 1073
页数:16
相关论文
共 17 条
[1]  
Alzaid AA., 1994, COMMUN STAT STOCH MO, V10, P649
[2]  
[Anonymous], 1995, LECT NOTES STAT
[3]  
Barlow R., 1981, STAT THEORY RELIABIL
[4]   ORDERING OF RISKS AND RUIN PROBABILITIES [J].
BROECKX, F ;
GOOVAERTS, M ;
DEVYLDER, F .
INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS, 1986, 5 (01) :35-39
[5]   Some improvements on the Lundberg bound for the ruin probability [J].
Cai, J ;
Wu, YH .
STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS, 1997, 33 (04) :395-403
[6]  
CAI J, 1997, SCAND ACTUARIAL J, P80
[7]   THE NBUC AND NWUC CLASSES OF LIFE DISTRIBUTIONS [J].
CAO, JH ;
WANG, YD .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY, 1991, 28 (02) :473-479
[8]   THE HNBUE AND HNWUE CLASSES OF LIFE DISTRIBUTIONS [J].
KLEFSJO, B .
NAVAL RESEARCH LOGISTICS, 1982, 29 (02) :331-344
[9]   Tail of compound distributions and excess time [J].
Lin, XD .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED PROBABILITY, 1996, 33 (01) :184-195
[10]  
Panjer H.H., 1992, INSURANCE RISK MODEL