Bubbles and crashes

被引:494
作者
Abreu, D
Brunnermeier, MK
机构
[1] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[2] Princeton Univ, Dept Econ, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA
[3] Princeton Univ, Bendheim Ctr Finance, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA
关键词
bubbles; crashes; temporal coordination; synchronization; market timing; 'overreaction'; limits to arbitrage; behavioral finance;
D O I
10.1111/1468-0262.00393
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We present a model in which an asset bubble can persist despite the presence of rational arbitrageurs. The resilience of the bubble stems from the inability of arbitrageurs to temporarily coordinate their selling strategies. This synchronization problem together with the individual incentive to time the market results in the persistence of bubbles over a substantial period. Since the derived trading equilibrium is unique, our model rationalizes the existence of bubbles in a strong sense. The model also provides a natural setting in which news events, by enabling synchronization, can have a disproportionate impact relative to their intrinsic informational content.
引用
收藏
页码:173 / 204
页数:32
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