ENSO as an integrating concept in Earth science

被引:1492
作者
McPhaden, Michael J.
Zebiak, Stephen E.
Glantz, Michael H.
机构
[1] NOAA, Pacific Marine Environm Lab, Seattle, WA 98115 USA
[2] Int Res Inst Climate & Soc, Palisades, NY USA
[3] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.1132588
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle of alternating warm El Nino and cold La Nina events is the dominant year-to-year climate signal on Earth. ENSO originates in the tropical Pacific through interactions between the ocean and the atmosphere, but its environmental and socioeconomic impacts are felt worldwide. Spurred on by the powerful 1997-1998 El Nino, efforts to understand the causes and consequences of ENSO have greatly expanded in the past few years. These efforts reveal the breadth of ENSO's influence on the Earth system and the potential to exploit its predictability for societal benefit. However, many intertwined issues regarding ENSO dynamics, impacts, forecasting, and applications remain unresolved. Research to address these issues will not only lead to progress across a broad range of scientific disciplines but also provide an opportunity to educate the public and policy makers about the importance of climate variability and change in the modern world.
引用
收藏
页码:1740 / 1745
页数:6
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