Using medium-range weather forcasts to improve the value of wind energy production

被引：88

作者：

Roulston, MS

Kaplan, DT

von Hardenberg, J

Smith, LA

机构：

[1] Univ Oxford, Pembroke Coll, Oxford OX1 2JD, England

[2] Univ London London Sch Econ & Polit Sci, Ctr Anal Time Series, London WC2A 2AE, England

[3] Macalester Coll, St Paul, MN 55105 USA

来源：

RENEWABLE ENERGY | 2003年 / 28卷 / 04期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/S0960-1481(02)00054-X

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The value of different strategies for consolidating the information in European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) forecasts to wind energy generators is investigated. Simulating the performance of generators using the different strategies in the context of a simplified electricity market revealed that ECMWF forecasts in production decisions improved the performance of generators at lead times of up to 6 days. Basing half-hourly production decisions on a production forecast generated by condtioning the climate on the ECMWF operational ensemble forecast yields the best results of all the strategies tested. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：585 / 602

页数：18

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