How much is the ocean really warming?

被引:206
作者
Gouretski, Viktor
Koltermann, Klaus Peter
机构
[1] Alfred Wegener Inst Polar & Marine Res, Klimawissensch, D-27570 Bremerhaven, Germany
[2] UNESCO, Intergovt Oceanog Commiss, F-75732 Paris, France
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2006GL027834
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
We use a global hydrographic dataset to study the effect of instrument related biases on the estimates of long-term temperature changes in the global ocean since the 1950s. The largest discrepancies are found between the expendable bathythermographs (XBT) and bottle and CTD data, with XBT temperatures being positively biased by 0.2-0.4 degrees C on average. Since the XBT data are the largest proportion of the dataset, this bias results in a significant World Ocean warming artefact when time periods before and after introduction of XBT are compared. Using bias-corrected XBT data we argue reduces the ocean heat content change since the 1950s by a factor of 0.62. Our estimate of the ocean heat content increase (0-3000 m) between 1957-66 and 1987-96 is 12.8.10(22) J. Because of imperfect sampling this estimate has an uncertainty of at least 8.10(22) J.
引用
收藏
页数:5
相关论文
共 36 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 2004, 35 BUND SEESCH HYDR
[2]  
BOEDEKER S, 2001, COMPARISON CTD XBT T
[3]  
BOYD JD, 1993, J ATMOS OCEAN TECH, V10, P128, DOI 10.1175/1520-0426(1993)010<0128:TTADAO>2.0.CO
[4]  
2
[5]  
CONKRIGHT ME, 2002, WORLD OCEAN DATABASE, V1
[6]  
Delcroix T., 1989, P W PAC INT M WORKSH, P775
[7]  
DIXON JS, 2003, COMPARISON EXPENDABL
[8]  
FANG CL, 2002, XBT CTD COMPARISONS
[9]   Global temperature change and its uncertainties since 1861 [J].
Folland, CK ;
Rayner, NA ;
Brown, SJ ;
Smith, TM ;
Shen, SSP ;
Parker, DE ;
Macadam, I ;
Jones, PD ;
Jones, RN ;
Nicholls, N ;
Sexton, DMH .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2001, 28 (13) :2621-2624
[10]  
FOLLAND CK, 1995, Q J ROY METEOR SOC, V121, P319, DOI 10.1002/qj.49712152206