A route to more tractable expert advice

被引：212

作者：

Aspinall, Willy ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, Avon, England

[2] Aspinall & Associates, Tisbury SP3 6HF, England

来源：

NATURE | 2010年 / 463卷 / 7279期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1038/463294a

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

There are mathematically advanced ways to weigh and pool scientific advice. They should be used more to quantify uncertainty and improve decision-making, says Willy Aspinall.

引用

页码：294 / 295

页数：2

共 6 条

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Cooke, Roger M.
ElSaadany, Susie
Huang, Xinzheng
[J]. RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 2008, 93 (05) : 745 - 756
[4] Krupnick A., 2006, NOT SURE THING MAKIN
[5] Climate change - The limits of consensus
Oppenheimer, Michael
O'Neill, Brian C.
Webster, Mort
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[J]. SCIENCE, 2007, 317 (5844) : 1505 - 1506
[6] TYSHENKO MG, 2009, EXP EL WORKSH RES LA

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