The Other Transformation in Econometric Practice: Robust Tools for Inference

被引:37
作者
Stock, James H. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Harvard Univ, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[2] Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
关键词
MONETARY-POLICY; MATRIX ESTIMATOR; HETEROSKEDASTICITY; IDENTIFICATION; COVARIANCE; MODELS;
D O I
10.1257/jep.24.2.83
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
020101 [政治经济学];
摘要
Angrist and Pischke highlight one aspect of the research that has positively transformed econometric practice and teaching. They emphasize the rise of experiments and quasi-experiments as credible sources of identification in microeconometric studies, which they usefully term "design-based research." But in so doing, they miss an important part of the story: a second research strand aimed at developing tools for inference that are robust to subsidiary modeling assumptions. My first aim in these remarks therefore is to highlight some key developments in this area. I then turn to Angrist and Pischke's call for adopting experiments and quasi-experiments in macroeconometrics; while sympathetic, I suspect the scope for such studies is limited. I conclude with some observations on the current debate about whether experimental methods have gone too far in abandoning economic theory.
引用
收藏
页码:83 / 94
页数:12
相关论文
共 37 条
[1]
AHMADI PM, 2009, MEASURING DYNAMIC EF
[2]
Angus Deaton, 2009, P BRIT ACAD, V162, P123
[3]
[Anonymous], 14896 NBER
[4]
[Anonymous], 2007, INTRO ECONOMETRICS
[5]
[Anonymous], 14706 NBER
[6]
ARELLANO M, 1987, OXFORD B ECON STAT, V49, P431
[7]
ARRELANO M, 2003, ADV TEXTS ECONOMETRI
[8]
Bernanke BenS., 1999, INFLATION TARGETING
[9]
How much should we trust differences-in-differences estimates? [J].
Bertrand, M ;
Duflo, E ;
Mullainathan, S .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2004, 119 (01) :249-275
[10]
The robustness of identified VAR conclusions about money [J].
Faust, J .
CARNEGIE - ROCHESTER CONFERENCE SERIES ON PUBLIC POLICY, VOL 49 - DECEMBER 1998, 1998, 49 :207-244