Empirical tests of a fast-and-frugal heuristic: Not everyone "takes-the-best"

被引:147
作者
Newell, BR [1 ]
Weston, NJ [1 ]
Shanks, DR [1 ]
机构
[1] UCL, Dept Psychol, London WC1E 6BT, England
关键词
bounded rationality; fast-and-frugal heuristics; take-the-best; behavioral strategies;
D O I
10.1016/S0749-5978(02)00525-3
中图分类号
B849 [应用心理学];
学科分类号
040203 ;
摘要
The fast-and-frugal heuristics approach to decision making under uncertainty advocated by Gigerenzer and colleagues (e.g., Gigerenzer & Goldstein, 1996) has achieved great popularity despite a relative lack of empirical validation. We report two experiments that examine the use of one particular heuristic-"take-the-best" (TTB). In both experiments the majority of participants adopted frugal strategies, but only one-third (33%) behaved in a manner completely consistent with TTB's search, stopping and decision rules. Furthermore, a significant proportion of participants in both experiments adopted a non-frugal strategy in which they accumulated more information than was predicted by TTB's stopping rule. The results provide an insight into the conditions under which different heuristics are used, and question the predictive power of the fast-and-frugal approach. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science (USA). All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:82 / 96
页数:15
相关论文
共 36 条
  • [1] [Anonymous], COGNITIVE SCI
  • [2] [Anonymous], 1996, 5 FACTOR MODEL PERSO
  • [3] Assessing the empirical validity of the "Take-The-Best' heuristic as a model of human probabilistic inference
    Bröder, A
    [J]. JOURNAL OF EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY-LEARNING MEMORY AND COGNITION, 2000, 26 (05) : 1332 - 1346
  • [4] Czerlinski J., 1999, Simple heuristics that make us smart, P97, DOI DOI 10.1002/(SICI)1099-0771(200004/06)13:2<161::AID-BDM348>3.0.CO
  • [5] 2-P
  • [6] Dhami MK, 2001, J BEHAV DECIS MAKING, V14, P141, DOI 10.1002/bdm.371
  • [7] Decision analysis in patient care
    Elwin, G
    Edwards, A
    Eccles, M
    Rovner, D
    [J]. LANCET, 2001, 358 (9281) : 571 - 574
  • [8] PROCESS TRACING METHODS - CONTRIBUTIONS, PROBLEMS, AND NEGLECTED RESEARCH QUESTIONS
    FORD, JK
    SCHMITT, N
    SCHECHTMAN, SL
    HULTS, BM
    DOHERTY, ML
    [J]. ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN DECISION PROCESSES, 1989, 43 (01) : 75 - 117
  • [9] PROBABILISTIC MENTAL MODELS - A BRUNSWIKIAN THEORY OF CONFIDENCE
    GIGERENZER, G
    HOFFRAGE, U
    KLEINBOLTING, H
    [J]. PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, 1991, 98 (04) : 506 - 528
  • [10] Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality
    Gigerenzer, G
    Goldstein, DG
    [J]. PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW, 1996, 103 (04) : 650 - 669