Changes in carbon intensity in China: Empirical findings from 1980-2003

被引:248
作者
Fan, Ying
Liu, Lan-Cui
Wu, Gang
Tsai, Hsien-Tang
Wei, Yi-Ming
机构
[1] Chinese Acad Sci, IPM, Ctr Energy & Environm Policy Res, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Forecasting Sci, Beijing 100080, Peoples R China
[3] Natl Sun Yat Sen Univ, Coll Management, Kaohsiung 80424, Taiwan
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
carbon intensity; Adaptive Weighting Divisia Index; energy intensity;
D O I
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2006.08.016
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
China experienced sustainable, rapid economic growth over the period 1980-2003 but, at the same time, energy-related carbon intensity showed a downward trend. It begs the question, therefore, what factors were driving this decline in carbon intensity and will this decline be maintained in future? Moreover, what measures can be adopted to ensure a continual decline in carbon intensity? These questions led to increased research in the factors governing CO2 emission in China. This paper quantifies the driving force behind China's primary energy-related carbon intensity and measures the material production sectors' final energy-related carbon intensity. Our results show that the overwhelming contributor to the decline of energy-related carbon intensity was the reduction in real energy intensity. However, policies that focus only on the decline in energy intensity are insufficient to further decrease carbon intensity. The change of primary energy mix can improve the decline of carbon intensity. This should focus on the material production sectors' development strategies and final energy use. Greater emphasis should be given to secondary industry, which needs national and regional governments' policy support. (C) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页码:683 / 691
页数:9
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