Determinants of stagnating carbon intensity in China

被引：164

作者：

Guan, Dabo ^{[1
,2
]}

Klasen, Stephan ^{[3
]}

Hubacek, Klaus ^{[4
]}

Feng, Kuishuang ^{[4
]}

Liu, Zhu ^{[5
,6
]}

He, Kebin ^{[7
]}

Geng, Yong ^{[8
]}

Zhang, Qiang ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Tsinghua Univ, Tsinghua Leeds Joint Low Carbon City Res Program, Ctr Earth Syst Sci, Minist Educ,Key Lab Earth Syst Modelling, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China

[2] Univ E Anglia, Sch Int Dev, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England

[3] Univ Gottingen, Dept Econ, D-37073 Gottingen, Germany

[4] Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA

[5] Harvard Univ, Sustainabil Sci Program, John F Kennedy Sch Govt, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA

[6] Harvard Univ, Energy Technol Innovat Policy Project, John F Kennedy Sch Govt, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA

[7] Tsinghua Univ, Sch Environm, State Key Joint Lab Environm Simulat & Pollut Con, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China

[8] Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Environm Sci & Technol, Shanghai 200240, Peoples R China

来源：

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE | 2014年 / 4卷 / 11期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

GROWING CO2 EMISSIONS; DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS; REGIONAL ALLOCATION; CONSUMPTION;

D O I：

10.1038/NCLIMATE2388

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

China committed itself to reduce the carbon intensity of its economy (the amount of CO2 emitted per unit of GDP) by 40-45% during 2005-2020. Yet, between 2002 and 2009, China experienced a 3% increase in carbon intensity, though trends differed greatly among its 30 provinces. Decomposition analysis shows that sectoral effciency gains in nearly all provinces were offset by movement towards a more carbon-intensive economic structure. Such a sectoral shift seemed to be heavily affected by the growing role of investments and capital accumulation in China's growth process which has favoured sectors with high carbon intensity. Panel data regressions show that changes in carbon intensity were smallest in sectors dominating the regional economy (so as not to endanger these large sectors, which are the mainstay of the provincial economy), whereas scale and convergence effects played a much smaller role.

引用

页码：1017 / 1023

页数：7

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