Gas-kinetic theory and Boltzmann equation of share price within an equilibrium market hypothesis and ad hoc strategy

被引:13
作者
Ausloos, M [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Liege, Inst Phys B5, GRASP, B-4000 Liege, Belgium
[2] Univ Liege, Inst Phys B5, SUPRAS, B-4000 Liege, Belgium
来源
PHYSICA A | 2000年 / 284卷 / 1-4期
关键词
Boltzmann equation; equilibrium market; share price; econophysics; order parameter;
D O I
10.1016/S0378-4371(00)00290-9
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
Recent observations have indicated that the traditional equilibrium market hypothesis (EMH; also known as Efficient Market Hypothesis) is unrealistic. It is shown here that it is the analog of a Boltzmann equation in physics, thus having some bad properties of mean-field approximations like a Gaussian distribution of price fluctuations. A kinetic theory for prices can be simply derived, considering in a first approach that market actors have all identical relaxation times, and solved within a Chapman-Enskog like formalism. In closing the set of equations, (i) an equation of state with a pressure and (ii) the equilibrium (isothermal) equation for the price (tah-ett as the order parameter) of a stock as a function of the volume of money available are obtained. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:385 / 392
页数:8
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