Price momentum and trading volume

被引:831
作者
Lee, CMC [1 ]
Swaminathan, B [1 ]
机构
[1] Cornell Univ, Johnson Grad Sch Management, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1111/0022-1082.00280
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 [应用经济学];
摘要
This study shows that past trading volume provides an important link between "momentum" and "value" strategics. Specifically, we find that firms with high (low) past turnover ratios exhibit many glamour (value) characteristics, earn lower (higher) future returns, and have consistently more negative (positive) earnings surprises over the next eight quarters. Past trading volume also predicts both the magnitude and persistence of price momentum. Specifically price momentum effects reverse over the next five years, and high (low) volume winners (losers) experience faster reversals. Collectively, our findings show that past volume helps to reconcile intermediate-horizon "underreaction" and long-horizon "overreaction" effects.
引用
收藏
页码:2017 / 2069
页数:53
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