The value of transvaginal ultrasonographic examination of the uterine cervix in predicting preterm delivery in patients with preterm premature rupture of membranes

The objective of this study was to compare the value of ultrasonographic assessment of the uterine cervix and amniotic fluid tests in the prediction of the interval from admission to delivery in patients with preterm premature rupture of membranes. Ninety-two patients admitted to the hospital for preterm premature rupture of membranes between 24 and 32 weeks of gestation underwent both transabdominal amniocentesis and transvaginal ultrasonographic evaluation of the uterine cervix. Amniotic fluid analyses included cultures for aerobic and anaerobic bacteria, mycoplasmas and ureaplasmas, white blood cell count and glucose and interleukin-6 determinations. The ultrasonographic variables evaluated were cervical length, presence of funneling and cervical index ((funnel length + 1)/cervical length). The outcome measure was the interval from admission to delivery. The median interval from admission to delivery was 4.5 days (range 0-36). An abnormal uterine cervix was associated with a shout rime interval (cervical length less than or equal to 20 mm, median 2 days, range 0-14 vs. median 6 days, range 0-36; p less than or equal to 0.0001; presence of funneling, median 3 days, range 1-31 vs. median 8 days, range 0-36; p less than or equal to 0.001; cervical index > 0.50, median 2 days, range 0-7 vs. median 8 days, range 1-36; p less than or equal to 0.0001). However, interleukin-6 concentration in the amniotic fluid was the best predictor of the interval from admission to delivery when compared to the ultrasonographic indices and to all the amniotic variables considered. Moreover, when a multiple model was applied the cervical index significantly and independently improved the performance of interleukin-6 in the prediction of the interval from admission to delivery. These data suggest that the combined use of the amniotic fluid interleukin-6 assay and the cervical index in patients with preterm premature rupture of membranes provides a good prediction of the interval from admission to delivery, thus identifying a subgroup of patients at high risk of imminent delivery.