Transmission expansion under risk using stochastic programming

被引：10

作者：

Alvarez, Juan ^{[1
]}

Ponnambalam, Kumaraswamy ^{[2
]}

Quintana, Victor H. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Waterloo, Elect & Comp Engn Dept, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada

[2] Univ Waterloo, Waterloo, ON N2L 3G1, Canada

来源：

2006 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROBABILISTIC METHODS APPLIED TO POWER SYSTEMS, VOLS 1 AND 2 | 2006年

基金：

加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;

关键词：

D O I：

10.1109/PMAPS.2006.360194

中图分类号：

TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];

学科分类号：

0808 ; 0809 ;

摘要：

In this work, the problem of transmission expansion under risk from demand uncertainty and capacity of the lines is addressed. A deterministic model is expanded into a two-stage stochastic model with fixed recourse by means of considering the various foreseeable levels of demand as random. After this model is analyzed, a way of quantifying risk using the mean-variance Markowitz approach is proposed. The last model presented is such that randomness in the transmission capacity factor for each line is considered using a probabilistic constraint. The concepts of expected value of perfect information (EVPI) and the value of the stochastic solution (VSS) are also studied.

引用

页码：1 / 7

页数：7

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