Inference in ensemble experiments

被引：38

作者：

Rougier, Jonathan

Sexton, David M. H.

机构：

[1] Univ Bristol, Dept Math, Bristol BS8 1TW, Avon, England

[2] Hadley Ctr, Meteorol Off, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England

来源：

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES | 2007年 / 365卷 / 1857期

基金：

英国自然环境研究理事会;

关键词：

Monte Carlo ensemble; designed ensemble; uncertainty; importance sampling; emulator; screening;

D O I：

10.1098/rsta.2007.2071

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

We consider inference based on ensembles of climate model evaluations, and contrast the Monte Carlo approach, in which the evaluations are selected at random from the model-input space, with a more overtly statistical approach using emulators and experimental design.

引用

页码：2133 / 2143

页数：11

共 17 条

[1]

[Anonymous], [No title captured]

[2] Bayesian experimental design: A review [J].