North Pacific sea ice cover, a predictor for the Western North Pacific typhoon frequency?

被引:62
作者
Fan Ke [1 ]
机构
[1] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
[2] Yunnan Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Kunming 650091, Peoples R China
来源
SCIENCE IN CHINA SERIES D-EARTH SCIENCES | 2007年 / 50卷 / 08期
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
typhoon; sea ice cover; north Pacific; teleconnection;
D O I
10.1007/s11430-007-0076-y
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
The relationship between the sea ice cover in the North Pacific and the typhoon frequency has been studied in this paper. It follows that the index for the sea ice cover in the North Pacific (ISA) both in December-January-February (DJF) and in March-April-May (MAM) is negatively correlated with annual typhoon number over the western North Pacific (TNWNP) during 1965-2004, with correlation coefficients of -0.42 and -0.49 respectively (above 99% significant level). Large sea ice cover in the North Pacific tends to decrease TNWNP. Positive ISA (MAM) is associated with the tropical circulation and SST anomalies in the North Pacific, which may lead to unfavorable dynamic and thermal conditions for typhoon genesis over WNP from June to October (JJASO). The variability of the atmospheric circulation over the North Pacific, associated with the ISA anomaly in MAM is connected to the tropical atmospheric circulation variability in MAM via the teleconnection wave train. Besides, as the tropical circulation has strong seasonal persistency from the MAM to JJASO, thus, the ISA in MAM-related variability of the tropical atmospheric circulation as well as the SST can affect the typhoon activity over the western North Pacific.
引用
收藏
页码:1251 / 1257
页数:7
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