Kendall's tau for serial dependence

被引:57
作者
Ferguson, TS [1 ]
Genest, C [1 ]
Hallin, M [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Math, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
来源
CANADIAN JOURNAL OF STATISTICS-REVUE CANADIENNE DE STATISTIQUE | 2000年 / 28卷 / 03期
关键词
asymptotic relative efficiency; autocorrelation; Kendall's tau; rank procedures; Spearman's rho; tests of independence; time series;
D O I
10.2307/3315967
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The authors show how Kendall's tau can be adapted to test against serial dependence in a univariate time series context. They provide formulas for the mean and variance of circular and noncircular versions of this statistic, and they prove its asymptotic normality under the hypothesis of independence. They present also a Monte Carlo study comparing the power and size of a test based on Kendall's tau with the power and size of competing procedures based on alternative parametric and nonparametric measures of serial dependence. In particular, their simulations indicate that Kendall's tau outperforms Spearman's rho in detecting first-order autoregressive dependence, despite the fact that these two statistics are asymptotically equivalent under the null hypothesis, as well as under local alternatives.
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页码:587 / 604
页数:18
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