Precipitation: A parameter changing climate and modified by climate change

被引:14
作者
Cubasch, U [1 ]
Voss, R [1 ]
Mikolajewicz, U [1 ]
机构
[1] Max Planck Inst Meteorol, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
关键词
D O I
10.1023/A:1005600525681
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
This paper discusses two aspects of climate modeling, the deep water formation in the North Atlantic and precipitation changes due to climate change caused by anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases. The deep water formation is strongly influenced by the precipitation, and the precipitation is affected by the concentration of the greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and by the atmospheric and oceanic circulation. The experiments discussed here have been performed independently to test the stability of the thermohaline circulation of the North Atlantic and to investigate changes in precipitation due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. The precipitation changes in a climate change environment are sufficient in some simulations to decrease the thermohaline circulation noticeably. However, it appears that the amount of freshwater needed to bring the circulation to a collapse is magnitudes larger than the anticipated change in precipitation due to anthropogenic activities within the next 100 years. The precipitation changes, on the other hand, might change regionally quite drastically towards more extreme situations, thereby putting additional stress on vegetation and enhancing soil erosion.
引用
收藏
页码:257 / 276
页数:20
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