Prediction of Dementia by Subjective Memory Impairment Effects of Severity and Temporal Association With Cognitive Impairment

被引:536
作者
Jessen, Frank [1 ]
Wiese, Birgitt [2 ]
Bachmann, Cadja
Eifflaender-Gorfer, Sandra [6 ]
Haller, Franziska [1 ]
Koelsch, Heike [1 ]
Luck, Tobias [5 ]
Moesch, Edelgard [7 ]
van den Bussche, Hendrik [3 ]
Wagner, Michael [1 ]
Wollny, Anja [8 ]
Zimmermann, Thomas [3 ]
Pentzek, Michael [8 ]
Riedel-Heller, Steffi G. [5 ]
Romberg, Heinz-Peter
Weyerer, Siegfried [6 ]
Kaduszkiewicz, Hanna [3 ]
Maier, Wolfgang [1 ,4 ]
Bickel, Horst [7 ]
机构
[1] Univ Bonn, Dept Psychiat, D-53105 Bonn, Germany
[2] Hannover Med Sch, Inst Biometr, D-3000 Hannover, Germany
[3] Univ Med Ctr Hamburg Eppendorf, Dept Primary Med Care, Hamburg, Germany
[4] German Ctr Neurodegenerat Dis, Bonn, Germany
[5] Univ Leipzig, Dept Psychiat, Leipzig, Germany
[6] Cent Inst Mental Hlth, D-6800 Mannheim, Germany
[7] Tech Univ Munich, Dept Psychiat, Munich, Germany
[8] Univ Med Ctr Dusseldorf, Dept Gen Practice, Dusseldorf, Germany
关键词
ALZHEIMERS-DISEASE; OLDER-ADULTS; COMPLAINTS; MCI; DETERIORATION; POPULATION; PREVALENCE; CONVERSION; DIAGNOSIS; PATTERNS;
D O I
10.1001/archgenpsychiatry.2010.30
中图分类号
R749 [精神病学];
学科分类号
100205 ;
摘要
Context: Subjective memory impairment (SMI) is receiving increasing attention as a pre-mild cognitive impairment (MCI) condition in the course of the clinical manifestation of Alzheimer disease (AD). Objectives: To determine the risk for conversion to any dementia, dementia in AD, or vascular dementia by SMI, graded by the level of SMI-related worry and by the temporal association of SMI and subsequent MCI. Design: Longitudinal cohort study with follow-up examinations at 1 (1)/(2) and 3 years after baseline. Setting: Primary care medical record registry sample. Participants: A total of 2415 subjects without cognitive impairment 75 years or older in the German Study on Aging, Cognition and Dementia in Primary Care Patients. Main Outcome Measures: Conversion to any dementia, dementia in AD, or vascular dementia at follow-up 1 or follow-up 2 predicted by SMI with or without worry at baseline and at follow-up 2 predicted by different courses of SMI at baseline and MCI at follow-up 1. Results: In the first analysis, SMI with worry at baseline was associated with greatest risk for conversion to any dementia (hazard ratio [HR], 3.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.07-6.03) or dementia in AD (6.54; 2.82-15.20) at follow-up 1 or follow-up 2. The sensitivity was 69.0% and the specificity was 74.3% conversion to dementia in AD. In the second analysis, SMI at baseline and MCI at follow-up 1 were associated with greatest risk for conversion to any dementia (odds ratio [ OR], 8.92; 95% CI, 3.69-21.60) or dementia in AD (19.33; 5.29-70.81) at follow-up 2. Furthermore, SMI at baseline and amnestic MCI at follow-up 1 increased the risk for conversion to any dementia (OR, 29.24; 95% CI, 8.75-97.78) or dementia inAD (60.28; 12.23-297.10), with a sensitivity of 66.7% and a specificity of 98.3% for conversion to dementia in AD. Conclusion: The prediction of dementia in AD by SMI with subsequent amnestic MCI supports the model of a consecutive 3-stage clinical manifestation of AD from SMI via MCI to dementia.
引用
收藏
页码:414 / 422
页数:9
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