The influence of fear in decisions: Experimental evidence

被引:20
作者
Chanel, Olivier [1 ]
Chichilnisky, Graciela [2 ]
机构
[1] CNRS GREQAM IDEP, F-13236 Marseille 2, France
[2] Columbia Univ, Dept Econ, New York, NY 10027 USA
关键词
Decision under risk; Losses; Catastrophic event; Fear; Probability weighting function; PROBABILITY WEIGHTING FUNCTION; PARAMETER-FREE ELICITATION; UNCERTAINTY; RISK; CHOICE; DISAPPOINTMENT; TERRORISM; UTILITY; REGRET;
D O I
10.1007/s11166-009-9079-8
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This article studies decisions made under conditions of fear, when a catastrophic outcome is introduced in a lottery. It reports on experimental results and seeks to compare the predictions of the expected utility (EU) framework with those of a new axiomatic treatment of choice under uncertainty that takes explicit account of emotions such as fear (Chichilnisky 1996, 2000, 2002, 2009). Results provide evidence that fear influences the cognitive process of decision-making by leading some subjects to focus excessively on catastrophic events. Such heterogeneity in subjects' behavior, while not consistent with EU-based functions, is fully consistent with the new type of utility function implied by the new axioms.
引用
收藏
页码:271 / 298
页数:28
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