Risk estimate of rice damaged due to flood

被引：5

作者：

Lai, Li-Hua ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Natl Kaohsiung First Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Risk Management & Insurance, Kaohsiung 811, Taiwan

来源：

NONLINEAR ANALYSIS-REAL WORLD APPLICATIONS | 2010年 / 11卷 / 03期

关键词：

Chaotic behavior; Correlation dimension; Rescaled range analysis; CLIMATE-CHANGE; LOWLAND RICE; TOLERANCE; LOSSES; TAIWAN; CROPS;

D O I：

10.1016/j.nonrwa.2009.02.014

中图分类号：

O29 [应用数学];

学科分类号：

070104 ;

摘要：

Flood is one of the main disasters which cause rice damage in many countries In this paper we investigate the risk of rice damaged due to flood by analyzing its statistical property and deterministic behavior from the thirty-six years of data in Taiwan. First, we calculate the Jarque-Bera coefficient, skewness, and kurtosis to see that the rice damage is not a normal distribution. Next, we use the correlation dimension (CD) and statistical correlation dimension (SCD) to see that both of the time series of flood and associated damages show the chaotic behavior. Finally, we also use the Hurst rescaled range analysis to confirm the properties. The results we found are useful in the risk estimate of rice damaged due to flood (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：1243 / 1248

页数：6

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