Evolving foresight in a small transition economy

被引：33

作者：

Havas, A ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] UNI, INTECH, NL-6211 Maastricht, Netherlands

来源：

JOURNAL OF FORECASTING | 2003年 / 22卷 / 2-3期

关键词：

technology foresight; innovation system; visions (futures); economic transition; Hungary;

D O I：

10.1002/for.855

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

Hungary launched its first Technology Foresight Programme (TEP) in 1997. This was a holistic foresight programme, based on panel activities and a large-scale Delphi survey, with a strong emphasis on socio-economic needs. The paper discusses why a foresight exercise is relevant to a transition country, then describes what was done (organization, methods and results), and how the process evolved in Hungary. Policy conclusions, methodological lessons and questions for further research are also offered. Copyright (C) 2003 John Wiley Sons, Ltd.

引用

页码：179 / 201

页数：23