Economic costs of extratropical storms under climate change: an application of FUND

被引：30

作者：

Narita, Daiju ^{[1
]}

Tol, Richard S. J. ^{[2
,3
,4
,5
]}

Anthoff, David ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Kiel Inst World Econ, D-24105 Kiel, Germany

[2] Econ & Social Res Inst, Dublin 2, Ireland

[3] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies, NL-1081 Amsterdam, Netherlands

[4] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Dept Spatial Econ, NL-1081 Amsterdam, Netherlands

[5] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Dept Engn & Publ Policy, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA

来源：

JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT | 2010年 / 53卷 / 03期

关键词：

climate change; extra tropical storms; economic impact; DAMAGE COSTS; IMPACTS;

D O I：

10.1080/09640561003613138

中图分类号：

F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];

学科分类号：

0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;

摘要：

Extratropical cyclones have attracted some attention in climate policy circles as a possible significant damage factor of climate change. This study conducts an assessment of economic impacts of increased storm activities under climate change with the integrated assessment model FUND 3.5. In the base case, the direct economic damage of enhanced storms due to climate change amounts to US$2.8 billion globally (approximately 38% of the total economic loss of storms at present) at the year 2100, while its ratio to the world GDP is 0.0009%. The paper also shows various sensitivity runs exhibiting up to 3 times the level of damage relative to the base run.

引用

页码：371 / 384

页数：14

共 23 条

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