Predictions of biodiversity response to genetically modified herbicide-tolerant crops

被引:149
作者
Watkinson, AR [1 ]
Freckleton, RP
Robinson, RA
Sutherland, WJ
机构
[1] Univ E Anglia, Sch Environm Sci, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
[2] Univ E Anglia, Sch Biol Sci, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England
[3] British Trust Ornithol, Thetford IP24 2PU, Norfolk, England
关键词
D O I
10.1126/science.289.5484.1554
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We simulated the effects of the introduction of genetically modified herbicide-tolerant (GMHT) crops on weed populations and the consequences for seed-eating birds. We predict that weed populations might be reduced to Low Levels or practically eradicated, depending on the exact form of management. Consequent effects on the local use of fields by birds might be severe, because such reductions represent a major Loss of food resources. The regional impacts of GMHT crops are shown to depend on whether the adoption of GMHT crops by farmers covaries with current weed levels.
引用
收藏
页码:1554 / 1557
页数:4
相关论文
共 12 条
[1]   Estimating Taylor's power law parameters for weeds and the effect of spatial scale [J].
Clark, SJ ;
Perry, JN ;
Marshall, EJP .
WEED RESEARCH, 1996, 36 (05) :405-417
[2]   Farm-scale evaluation of GM crops explained [J].
Firbank, LG ;
Dewar, AM ;
Hill, MO ;
May, MJ ;
Perry, JN ;
Rothery, P ;
Squire, GR ;
Woiwod, IP .
NATURE, 1999, 399 (6738) :727-728
[3]  
Freckleton RP, 1998, J APPL ECOL, V35, P904, DOI 10.1111/j.1365-2664.1998.tb00008.x
[4]   How does temporal variability affect predictions of weed population numbers? [J].
Freckleton, RP ;
Watkinson, AR .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY, 1998, 35 (02) :340-344
[5]   The second silent spring? [J].
Krebs, JR ;
Wilson, JD ;
Bradbury, RB ;
Siriwardena, GM .
NATURE, 1999, 400 (6745) :611-612
[6]  
MOLL S, 1997, BRIGHT CROP PROT C W, P931
[7]  
READ MA, 1998, ASPECTS APPL BIOL, V52, P401
[8]  
Robinson R.A., 1997, THESIS U E ANGLIA NO
[9]   The winter distribution of seed-eating birds: habitat structure, seed density and seasonal depletion [J].
Robinson, RA ;
Sutherland, WJ .
ECOGRAPHY, 1999, 22 (04) :447-454
[10]   The effect of local change in habitat quality on populations of migratory species [J].
Sutherland, WJ .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY, 1998, 35 (03) :418-421