Bayesian graphical modelling: a case-study in monitoring health outcomes

被引:88
作者
Spiegelhalter, DJ [1 ]
机构
[1] Inst Publ Hlth, Medical Research Council, Biostat Unit, Cambridge CB2 2SR, England
关键词
cancer incidence; cervical screening; Gibbs sampling; hierarchical models; Markov chain Monte Carlo methods;
D O I
10.1111/1467-9876.00101
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Bayesian graphical modelling represents the synthesis of several recent developments in applied complex modelling. After describing a moderately challenging real example, we show how graphical models and Markov chain Monte Carte methods naturally provide a direct path between model specification and the computational means of making inferences on that model. These ideas are illustrated with a range of modelling issues related to our example. An appendix discusses the BUGS software.
引用
收藏
页码:115 / 133
页数:19
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