Multi-gas mitigation analysis on stabilization scenarios using aim global model

被引:162
作者
Fujino, Junichi [1 ]
Nair, Rajesh
Kainuma, Mikiko
Masui, Toshihiko
Matsuoka, Yuzuru
机构
[1] Natl Inst Environm Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
[2] Kyoto Univ, Kyoto, Japan
关键词
D O I
10.5547/issn0195-6574-ej-volsi2006-nosi3-17
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Non-CO2 gas (CH4, N2O and F gas) emissions account for 25 percent of all greenhouse gas in the year of 2000. Main sources of CH4 and N2O emissions are agriculture-related activities such as enteric fermentation, paddy rice cultivation, soil management. A recursive dynamic CGE (Computer General Equilibrium) model has been developed to analyze greenhouse gas reduction options including non-CO2 gas abatement technologies. Multi-regional, multi-sectoral and multi-gas CGE model and simple climate change model simulated long-term climate stabilization emission path. Preliminary results showed that multi gas mitigation options including CH4 and N2O abatement technologies will reduce GDP loss more than CO2 only mitigation options for long-term climate stabilization, even though CO2 mitigation options will reduce not only CO2 emissions but non-CO2 gas emissions simultaneously. It is necessary to collect regional non-CO2 gas data (emission, technology options, and so on) and conduct more sensitivity analysis with computer simulation model to reduce uncertainty of non-CO2 gas.
引用
收藏
页码:343 / 353
页数:11
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