Testing hypotheses: Prediction and prejudice

被引：76

作者：

Lipton, P ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Cambridge, Dept Hist & Philosophy Sci, Cambridge CB2 3RH, England

来源：

SCIENCE | 2005年 / 307卷 / 5707期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1126/science.1103024

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Observations that fit a hypothesis may be made before or after the hypothesis is formulated. Can that difference be relevant to the amount of support that the observations provide for the hypothesis? Philosophers of science and statisticians are both divided on this question, but there is an argument that predictions ought to count more than accommodations, because of the risk of "fudging" that accommodations run and predictions avoid.

引用

页码：219 / 221

页数：3

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