A Quantitative Analysis of Swedish Fertility Dynamics: 1751-1990

被引:42
作者
Eckstein, Zvi [1 ,2 ]
Mira, Pedro [3 ]
Wolpin, Kenneth I. [4 ]
机构
[1] Tel Aviv Univ, Eitan Berglas Sch Econ, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
[2] Boston Univ, Boston, MA 02215 USA
[3] CEMFI, Madrid, Spain
[4] Univ Penn, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
D O I
10.1006/redy.1998.0041
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper analyzes the relationship between age-specific fertility, mortality, and real wages in Sweden during the demographic transition. We fit a model of life-cycle fertility to two and a half centuries of Swedish time-series data. The model fits the data well, accurately portraying the total fertility decline from more than four children per female before the mid-nineteenth century to about two children today. About 80% of this decline was in fertility at female ages over 30. The fitted model implies that reduction in child mortality is the most important factor explaining the fertility decline. (C) 1999 Academic Press
引用
收藏
页码:137 / 165
页数:29
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