Upper-middle-class influence on developmental policy outcomes: The case of transit infrastructure

Past research on urban economic development has targeted three major lines of inquiry on determinants of policy outcomes, One focuses on the power of political actors engaged in agency processes. Another looks at institutional structure and the third emphasises physical and social 'preconditions' of urban structure. Although heavily researched, none of these approaches has produced conclusive empirical results. In part, this may be due to the research being nearly void of inquiry into the issue of 'indirect social influence'. This paper probes the thesis that variance in economic development outcomes is determined in part by agencies perceiving anonymous publics where no direct interaction is involved. It examines this with reference to an upper-middle-class lifestyle. Using infrastructure investment of 42 transit agencies across the US, regression results show a UMC factor to be more significant in explaining differences in policy outcomes than those of traditional rival theses. The paper concludes with an inferential analysis of why and how such indirect influence might occur.