100% renewable electricity in Australia

被引:192
作者
Blakers, Andrew [1 ]
Lu, Bin [1 ]
Stocks, Matthew [1 ]
机构
[1] Australian Natl Univ, Canberra, ACT, Australia
关键词
Photovoltaics; Wind energy; PHES; HVDC; Energy balance; COST;
D O I
10.1016/j.energy.2017.05.168
中图分类号
O414.1 [热力学];
学科分类号
070201 [理论物理];
摘要
An hourly energy balance analysis is presented of the Australian National Electricity Market in a 100% renewable energy scenario, in which wind and photovoltaics (PV) provides about 90% of the annual electricity demand and existing hydroelectricity and biomass provides the balance. Heroic assumptions about future technology development are avoided by only including technology that is being deployed in large quantities (>10 Gigawatts per year), namely PV and wind. Additional energy storage and stronger interconnection between regions was found to be necessary for stability. Pumped hydro energy storage (PHES) constitutes 97% of worldwide electricity storage, and is adopted in this work. Many sites for closed loop PHES storage have been found in Australia. Distribution of PV and wind over 10-100 million hectares, utilising high voltage transmission, accesses different weather systems and reduces storage requirements (and overall cost). The additional cost of balancing renewable energy supply with demand on an hourly rather than annual basis is found to be modest: AU$25-30/MWh (US$19-23/MWh). Using 2016 prices prevailing in Australia, the levelised cost of renewable electricity (LCOE) with hourly balancing is estimated to be AU$93/MWh (US$70/MWh). LCOE is almost certain to decrease due to rapidly falling cost of wind and PV. (C) 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:471 / 482
页数:12
相关论文
共 36 条
[1]
ABB, 2011, ABB SEL PROV LINK WO
[2]
ABB Group, 2010, XIANGJ SHANGH WORLDS
[3]
ACIL Allen Consulting, 2013, EL SECT EM MOD AUSTR, P9
[4]
[Anonymous], GLOB TRENDS REN EN I
[5]
[Anonymous], 2016, ABC News
[6]
[Anonymous], 2013, 100 PER CENT REN STU
[7]
[Anonymous], 2012, 100 PER CENT REN STU
[8]
[Anonymous], 2016, FORTUNE
[9]
[Anonymous], 2017, PV MAG INT
[10]
Australian Bureau of Meteorology, 2016, EV AV MONTHL ANN EV