How did the financial crisis alter the correlations of US yield spreads?

被引:19
作者
Contessi, Silvio [1 ]
De Pace, Pierangelo [2 ]
Guidolin, Massimo [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Fed Reserve Bank St Louis, Div Res, St Louis, MO 63166 USA
[2] Pomona Coll, Dept Econ, Claremont, CA 91711 USA
[3] Bocconi Univ, Dept Finance, I-20136 Milan, Italy
[4] Bocconi Univ, CAREFIN, I-20136 Milan, Italy
关键词
Yield spreads; Correlations; Breakpoint tests; Nonparametric bootstrap; Credit risk; Liquidity risk; DEFAULT RISK; LIQUIDITY; SECURITIES; DETERMINANTS; COMOVEMENT; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.jempfin.2014.04.005
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We investigate the pairwise correlations of eleven U.S. fixed income yield spreads over a sample that includes the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-09. Using cross-sectional methods and nonparametric bootstrap breakpoint tests, we characterize the crisis as a period in which pairwise correlations between yield spreads were systematically and significantly altered in the sense that spreads comoved with one another much more than in normal times. We find evidence that, for almost half of the fifty-five pairs under investigation, the crisis has left spreads much more correlated than they were previously. This evidence is particularly strong for liquidity- and default-risk-related spreads, long-term spreads, and the spreads that were most likely directly affected by policy interventions. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:362 / 385
页数:24
相关论文
共 47 条
[1]   Libor manipulation? [J].
Abrantes-Metz, Rosa M. ;
Kraten, Michael ;
Metz, Albert D. ;
Seow, Gim S. .
JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2012, 36 (01) :136-150
[2]  
Adrian T., 2010, EC POLICY REV, V17, P25
[3]  
Ait-Sahalia J., 2009, WP09204 IMF
[4]  
[Anonymous], J FINANC EC
[5]  
Batten J.A., 2005, APPL FINANCIAL EC, V15, P651
[6]  
Brave S., 2011, 201104 FED RES BANK
[7]   THE LAGRANGE MULTIPLIER TEST AND ITS APPLICATIONS TO MODEL-SPECIFICATION IN ECONOMETRICS [J].
BREUSCH, TS ;
PAGAN, AR .
REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES, 1980, 47 (01) :239-253
[8]   Market Liquidity and Funding Liquidity [J].
Brunnermeier, Markus K. ;
Pedersen, Lasse Heje .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2009, 22 (06) :2201-2238
[9]   Interest rate co-movements, global factors and the long end of the term spread [J].
Byrne, Joseph P. ;
Fazio, Giorgio ;
Fiess, Norbert .
JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2012, 36 (01) :183-192
[10]   Securitization markets and central banking: An evaluation of the term asset-backed securities loan facility [J].
Campbell, Sean ;
Covitz, Daniel ;
Nelson, William ;
Pence, Karen .
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, 2011, 58 (05) :518-531