Solar forcing of the Northern hemisphere land air temperature: New data

被引:43
作者
Thejll, P [1 ]
Lassen, K [1 ]
机构
[1] Danish Meteorol Inst, Solar Terr Phys Div, DK-2100 Copenhagen O, Denmark
关键词
solar cycle lengths; sunspot number; global warming; greenhouse effect; IPCC;
D O I
10.1016/S1364-6826(00)00104-8
中图分类号
P3 [地球物理学]; P59 [地球化学];
学科分类号
0708 ; 070902 ;
摘要
It has previously been demonstrated that the mean land air temperature of the Northern hemisphere could adequately be associated with a long-term variation of solar activity as given by the length of the approximately 11-year solar cycle. Adding new temperature data for the 1990s and expected values for the next sunspot extrema we test whether the solar cycle length model is still adequate. We find that the residuals are now inconsistent with the pure solar model. We conclude that since around 1990 the type of Solar forcing that is described by the solar cycle length model no longer dominates the long-term variation of the Northern hemisphere land air temperature. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1207 / 1213
页数:7
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