Credit contagion in a network of firms with spatial interaction

被引:72
作者
Barro, Diana [1 ]
Basso, Antonella
机构
[1] Univ Venice, Dept Appl Math, I-30123 Venice, Italy
关键词
Finance; Credit risk; Bank loan portfolios; Contagion models; Entropy spatial models; RISK; BUSINESS; MODEL; INFORMATION; PORTFOLIO; DISTANCE;
D O I
10.1016/j.ejor.2010.01.017
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
This contribution studies the effects of credit contagion on the credit risk of a portfolio of bank loans. To this aim we introduce a model that takes into account the counterparty risk in a network of interdependent firms that describes the presence of business relations among different firms. The location of the firms is simulated with probabilities computed using an entropy spatial interaction model. By means of a wide simulation analysis we investigate the behavior of the model proposed and study the effects of default contagion on the loss distribution of a portfolio of bank loans. (C) 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:459 / 468
页数:10
相关论文
共 31 条
[1]  
Agarwal S, 2007, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK, P183
[2]  
Aguais S., 2000, ALGO RES Q, V3, P21
[3]  
[Anonymous], 1970, Entropy in Urban and Regional Modelling
[4]  
BASSO A, 2005, ICFAI J FINANCIAL RI, V2
[5]  
CARLING K, 2004, SVERIGES RISKBANK WO, V168
[6]   Asymmetric information and distance: an empirical assessment of geographical credit rationing [J].
Carling, Kenneth ;
Lundberg, Sofia .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS, 2005, 57 (01) :39-59
[7]  
Celika H.M., 2007, Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, V41, P147
[8]  
Clarke G., 1998, Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, V22, P157, DOI 10.1016/S0198-9715(98)00021-0
[9]   Credit risk in a network economy [J].
Cossin, Didier ;
Schellhorn, Henry .
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 2007, 53 (10) :1604-1617
[10]   Common failings: How corporate defaults are correlated [J].
Das, Sanjiv R. ;
Duffie, Darrell ;
Kapadia, Nikunj ;
Saita, Leandro .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2007, 62 (01) :93-117