The Delphi method as a research tool: an example, design considerations and applications

被引：2736

作者：

Okoli, C

Pawlowski, SD

机构：

[1] Concordia Univ, John Molson Sch Business, Montreal, PQ H3G 1M8, Canada

[2] Louisiana State Univ, Dept Informat Syst & Decis Sci, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA

来源：

INFORMATION & MANAGEMENT | 2004年 / 42卷 / 01期

关键词：

Delphi method; group decision making; research design; strategic planning; electronic commerce;

D O I：

10.1016/j.im.2003.11.002

中图分类号：

TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

The Delphi method has proven a popular tool in information systems research for identifying and prioritizing issues for managerial decision-making. However, many past studies have not adopted a systematic approach to conduct a Delphi study. This article provides rigorous guidelines for the process of selecting appropriate experts for the study and gives detailed principles for making design choices during the process that ensure a valid study. A detailed example of a study to identify key factors affecting the diffusion of e-commerce in Sub-Saharan Africa illustrates the design choices that may be involved. We conclude with suggestions for theoretical applications. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：15 / 29

页数：15

共 32 条

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