Long-term trends in incidence of and mortality from acute myocardial infarction and stroke in women: Analyses of total first events and of deaths in the Uppsala Health Care Region, Sweden

We studied the trends from 1969 to the mid-1980s in the incidence and mortality of acute myocardial infarction and stroke in Swedish women residing in the Uppsala Health Care Region. We used data from the Inpatient Care and Causes of Death registers to obtain total first event incidence and mortality rates. In our population, there were 20,182 acute myocardial infarctions and 30,462 stroke events, and 17,359 and 21,336 deaths, respectively. We found an average overall annual increase of 1.3% in the age-standardized incidence of acute myocardial infarction during the 1970s, followed by decreasing rates during the early 1980s. Mortality was virtually unchanged. Notably, among women 45-49 years of age, we observed a rising trend during the whole period, whereas in the oldest age groups, the increase slowed and reversed in the latter years. Both the incidence and mortality for stroke declined steadily: the age-standardized incidence fell by an average of 2.1% per year for all stroke and 7.8% for intracerebral hemorrhage. The falling rate of stroke was best explained by birth cohort effects, with a 30% reduction in women born in 1920 and later as compared with those born in 1890. We conclude that important changes in Swedish women's cardiovascular health have taken place and that increasing cigarette smoking and hypertensive treatment are major determinants.