Modeling carbon dioxide emissions with a system of differential equations

被引:7
作者
Tsokos, Chris P. [1 ]
Xu, Yong [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ S Florida, Dept Math & Stat, Tampa, FL 33620 USA
关键词
Differential equation (DF); Rate of change (ROC); Short and long term prediction of rate of change; Statistical modeling; CLIMATE-CHANGE; GREENHOUSE; FEEDBACK; CYCLE;
D O I
10.1016/j.na.2009.01.146
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
The objective of the present study is to model carbon dioxide emission data with a system of differential equations. Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are one of the key attributable variables in GLOBAL WARMING along with atmospheric temperature. We develop a differential equation for each of six attributable variables that constitute CO2 emissions and a differential system of the sum of the variables. We are using real historical data on the subject phenomenon to develop the analytical form of the equations. We evaluate the quality of the developed model by utilizing a retrofitting process. Having such an analytical system we can obtain good estimates of the rate of change of CO2 emissions, individually and cumulatively as a function of time for near and far target times. Such information is quite useful in strategic planning of the subject matter. (C) 2009 Published by Elsevier Ltd
引用
收藏
页码:E1182 / E1197
页数:16
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