Radon short range forecasting through time series preprocessing and neural network modeling

被引:29
作者
Pasini, A
Ameli, F
机构
[1] CNR, Ist Inquinamento Atmosfer, I-00016 Monterotondo, Italy
[2] Univ Roma La Sapienza, Dipartimento Fis, I-00185 Rome, Italy
关键词
D O I
10.1029/2002GL016726
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
[1] In the framework of studies about the relevance of radon progeny measurements for the estimation of the mixing height, here a time series of radon data is analyzed and used for a short range forecasting activity. After a preprocessing of the time series in order to subtract the known periodicities, we perform forecasts of the future values of the residual series by means of neural network modeling. Finally we apply a simple box model to real data and forecast results, and obtain useful predictions of the mixing height during stability conditions.
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页数:4
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