Climate impacts of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on South America

被引:410
作者
Cai, Wenju [1 ,2 ,3 ]
McPhaden, Michael J. [4 ]
Grimm, Alice M. [5 ]
Rodrigues, Regina R. [6 ]
Taschetto, Andrea S. [7 ,8 ]
Garreaud, Rene D. [9 ,10 ]
Dewitte, Boris [11 ,12 ,13 ,14 ]
Poveda, German [15 ]
Ham, Yoo-Geun [16 ]
Santoso, Agus [3 ,7 ,8 ]
Ng, Benjamin [3 ]
Anderson, Weston [17 ]
Wang, Guojian [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Geng, Tao [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Jo, Hyun-Su [3 ]
Marengo, Jose A. [18 ]
Alves, Lincoln M. [19 ]
Osman, Marisol [20 ,21 ]
Li, Shujun [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Wu, Lixin [1 ,2 ]
Karamperidou, Christina [22 ]
Takahashi, Ken [23 ]
Vera, Carolina [20 ,21 ]
机构
[1] Ocean Univ China, Inst Adv Ocean Studies, Key Lab Phys Oceanog, Qingdao, Peoples R China
[2] Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Qingdao, Peoples R China
[3] CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Ctr Southern Hemisphere Oceans Res CSHOR, Hobart, Tas, Australia
[4] NOAA, Pacific Marine Environm Lab, 7600 Sand Point Way Ne, Seattle, WA 98115 USA
[5] Univ Fed Parana, Dept Phys, Curitiba, Parana, Brazil
[6] Univ Fed Santa Catarina, Dept Oceanog, Florianopolis, SC, Brazil
[7] Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[8] Univ New South Wales, Australian Res Council ARC, Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Sydney, NSW, Australia
[9] Univ Chile, Dept Geophys, Santiago, Chile
[10] Ctr Climate & Resilience Res CR2, Santiago, Chile
[11] Ctr Estudios Avanzados Zonas Aridas CEAZA, La Serena, Chile
[12] Univ Catolica Norte, Fac Ciencias Mar, Dept Biol, Coquimbo, Chile
[13] Millennium Nucleus Ecol & Sustainable Management, Coquimbo, Chile
[14] RD LEGOS, Toulouse, France
[15] Univ Nacl Colombia, Escuela Geociencias & Medio Ambiente, Medellin, Colombia
[16] Chonnam Natl Univ, Dept Oceanog, Gwangju, South Korea
[17] Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY USA
[18] Minist Ciencia Tecnol & Inovacao, Ctr Nacl Monitoramento & Alerta Desastres Nat, Sao Paulo, Brazil
[19] Natl Inst Space Res INPE, Sao Paulo, Brazil
[20] Ctr Invest Mar & Atmosfera CIMA CONICET UBA, UMIIFAECI CNRS, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
[21] Univ Buenos Aires, Fac Ciencias Exactas & Nat, Dept Ciencias Atmosfera & Oceanos, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina
[22] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Atmospher Sci, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
[23] Serv Nacl Meteorol & Hidrol Peru SENAMHI, Lima, Peru
基金
巴西圣保罗研究基金会; 国家重点研发计划; 澳大利亚研究理事会; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE; INDIAN-OCEAN DIPOLE; LOW-LEVEL JET; EASTERN TROPICAL PACIFIC; EXTREME RAINFALL EVENTS; NINO/SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY; CIRCULATION FEATURES; NORTH-ATLANTIC; COLD-TONGUE;
D O I
10.1038/s43017-020-0040-3
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation exerts a strong influence on the global climate, including South America, where understanding of the phenomenon first emerged. This Review outlines the impacts of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on South America, focusing on the mechanisms and diversity of resulting teleconnections. The climate of South America (SA) has long held an intimate connection with El Nino, historically describing anomalously warm sea-surface temperatures off the coastline of Peru. Indeed, throughout SA, precipitation and temperature exhibit a substantial, yet regionally diverse, relationship with the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). For example, El Nino is typically accompanied by drought in the Amazon and north-eastern SA, but flooding in the tropical west coast and south-eastern SA, with marked socio-economic effects. In this Review, we synthesize the understanding of ENSO teleconnections to SA. Recent efforts have sought improved understanding of ocean-atmosphere processes that govern the impact, inter-event and decadal variability, and responses to anthropogenic warming. ENSO's impacts have been found to vary markedly, affected not only by ENSO diversity, but also by modes of variability within and outside of the Pacific. However, while the understanding of ENSO-SA relationships has improved, with implications for prediction and projection, uncertainty remains in regards to the robustness of the impacts, inter-basin climate interactions and interplay with greenhouse warming. A coordinated international effort is, therefore, needed to close the observational, theoretical and modelling gaps currently limiting progress, with specific efforts in extending palaeoclimate proxies further back in time, reducing systematic model errors and improving simulations of ENSO diversity and teleconnections.
引用
收藏
页码:215 / 231
页数:17
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