Integrating mark-recapture-recovery and census data to estimate animal abundance and demographic parameters

被引:334
作者
Besbeas, P
Freeman, SN
Morgan, BJT [1 ]
Catchpole, EA
机构
[1] Univ Kent, Inst Math & Stat, Canterbury CT2 7NF, Kent, England
[2] British Trust Ornithol, Nunnery, Thetford IP24 2PU, Norfolk, England
[3] Univ New S Wales, Sch Math & Stat, Australian Def Force Acad, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia
关键词
Ardea cinerea; birds; census data; herons; kalman filter; lapwings; Leslie matrix models; maximum likelihood; prediction; productivity; ring-recovery data; state-space; Vanellus vanellas; winter weather;
D O I
10.1111/j.0006-341X.2002.00540.x
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
In studies of wild animals, one frequently encounters both census and mark-recapture-recovery data. We show how a state-space model for census data in combination with the usual multinomial-based models for ring-recovery data provide estimates of productivity not available from either type of data, alone. The approach is illustrated on two British bird species. For the lapwing; we calibrate how its recent decline could be due to a decrease in productivity. For the heron, there is no evidence for a decline in productivity, and the combined analysis increases significantly the strength of logistic regressions of survival on winter severity.
引用
收藏
页码:540 / 547
页数:8
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