Endogeneity bias in the absence of unobserved heterogeneity

被引:12
作者
Berg, GD
Mansley, EC
机构
[1] Mckesson Corp, Mckesson Hlth Solut, Broomfield, CO 80021 USA
[2] Merck & Co Inc, US Outcomes Res & Management, W Point, PA USA
关键词
data interpretation; econometric models; epidemiologic methods; multivariate analysis; statistics;
D O I
10.1016/j.annepidem.2003.09.020
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
PURPOSE: To demonstrate that endogeneity bias can still arise even when no unobserved heterogeneity exists. METHODS: A formal mathematical proof and a Monte Carlo simulation are used to demonstrate that ordinary estimation techniques will generate biased parameter estimates. RESULTS: The Monte Carlo results support the formal proof. Even in the absence of unobserved heterogeneity, ordinary least squares estimation that does not account for the endogenous nature of an explanatory variable resulted in a parameter estimate for the endogenous variable that was significantly biased (by a factor of 1.42 for the simple model and 1.98 for the saturated model). Alternatively, controlling for endogeneity using the instrumental variables approach led to an unbiased parameter estimate. CONCLUSIONS: Endogeneity bias can still occur even when unobserved heterogeneity is not present. (C) 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:561 / 565
页数:5
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