The importance of the Montreal Protocol in protecting climate

被引:308
作者
Velders, Guus J. M.
Andersen, Stephen O.
Daniel, John S.
Fahey, David W.
McFarland, Mack
机构
[1] Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, NL-3720 AH Bilthoven, Netherlands
[2] US EPA, Washington, DC 20460 USA
[3] NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Boulder, CO 80305 USA
[4] DuPont Fluoroprod, Wilmington, DE 19805 USA
关键词
Kyoto Protocol; ozone layer; radiative forcing;
D O I
10.1073/pnas.0610328104
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The 1987 Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer is a landmark agreement that has successfully reduced the global production, consumption, and emissions of ozone-depleting substances (ODSs). ODSs are also greenhouse gases that contribute to the radiative forcing of climate change. Using historical ODSs emissions and scenarios of potential emissions, we show that the ODS contribution to radiative forcing most likely would have been much larger if the ODS link to stratospheric ozone depletion had not been recognized in 1974 and followed by a series of regulations. The climate protection already achieved by the Montreal Protocol alone is far larger than the reduction target of the first commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol. Additional climate benefits that are significant compared with the Kyoto Protocol reduction target could be achieved by actions under the Montreal Protocol, by managing the emissions of substitute fluorocarbon gases and/or implementing alternative gases with lower global warming potentials.
引用
收藏
页码:4814 / 4819
页数:6
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